Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 6-4
Real Avilés Industrial vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
AVI
3 - 0
GIM
59%
19%
22%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
ALA
4 - 0
AVI
63%
19%
18%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
AVI
2 - 0
BUR
76%
14%
10%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
RCF
1 - 1
AVI
64%
19%
18%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
AVI
0 - 0
BAR
60%
21%
20%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1953 |
CDC
4 - 1
RCF
65%
19%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
RCF
2 - 1
SLA
58%
20%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
LOG
2 - 1
RCF
60%
19%
20%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
RCF
1 - 1
AVI
64%
19%
18%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
LLE
3 - 1
RCF
64%
19%
17%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |