Real Avilés Industrial vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
RSO
3 - 2
AVI
83%
10%
7%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
SPO
2 - 4
AVI
78%
13%
9%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
AVI
6 - 2
VAD
40%
22%
38%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
RCF
5 - 0
AVI
72%
15%
13%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
AVI
0 - 0
SLA
35%
22%
43%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
RCF
2 - 3
RUN
55%
20%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
RCF
4 - 0
SLA
54%
21%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ORI
2 - 3
RCF
41%
22%
37%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
RCF
5 - 0
AVI
72%
15%
13%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
DEP
1 - 0
RCF
62%
18%
20%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |