Real Avilés Industrial vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
SLA
2 - 1
AVI
67%
17%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
AVI
1 - 1
ORI
67%
17%
16%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
AVI
3 - 1
GIM
77%
13%
10%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
DEP
6 - 0
AVI
59%
19%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 1936 |
VAD
9 - 0
AVI
62%
18%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
RCF
1 - 1
DEP
49%
21%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
SPO
1 - 1
RCF
80%
12%
8%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
RCF
2 - 1
VAD
38%
22%
39%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
GIM
1 - 1
RCF
40%
22%
38%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1939 |
SEV
6 - 2
RCF
82%
11%
7%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | -1 |