Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
RMC
4 - 2
AVI
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
AVI
0 - 2
PON
30%
27%
43%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
NAR
0 - 2
AVI
13%
24%
63%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
AVI
2 - 0
DPT
81%
14%
5%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
PCF
1 - 3
AVI
24%
27%
50%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
LUG
0 - 1
UPL
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
RIB
0 - 0
LUG
20%
27%
54%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
LUG
2 - 1
ZAM
42%
27%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2002 |
GIM
0 - 1
LUG
40%
28%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
LUG
1 - 0
UNI
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |