Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
FUE
1 - 1
AVI
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
AVI
0 - 0
PLA
55%
24%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
MOR
1 - 1
AVI
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1998 |
AVI
0 - 1
DEP
31%
28%
41%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
AVI
2 - 1
ROB
39%
27%
35%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
LUG
4 - 3
ROB
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
CAU
1 - 1
LUG
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
LUG
1 - 1
PON
53%
26%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1998 |
MAJ
4 - 1
LUG
24%
28%
48%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
LUG
3 - 1
LEG
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |