Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
GET
2 - 3
AVI
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
AVI
1 - 2
TAL
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
CAR
4 - 0
AVI
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
AVI
0 - 2
ROB
65%
20%
14%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
FUE
2 - 0
AVI
46%
27%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
LUG
2 - 0
MLL
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
DEP
0 - 0
LUG
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
LUG
1 - 1
CEL
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
ASP
2 - 1
LUG
34%
29%
38%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
LUG
4 - 1
ARA
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |