Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Real Avilés Industrial vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
LEA
2 - 1
AVI
39%
29%
33%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
AVI
3 - 1
HIS
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
HIS
1 - 0
AVI
32%
30%
38%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
CEL
3 - 0
AVI
32%
32%
36%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
AVI
0 - 0
ASP
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
LEA
2 - 1
AVI
39%
29%
33%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
SAN
2 - 2
LEA
36%
28%
37%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
LEA
1 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
7%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
NAI
0 - 1
LEA
22%
27%
51%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
LEA
2 - 0
LEN
84%
12%
4%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |