Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Laredo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
10º
7º
15
9º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 76 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 53 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 52 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 51 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 50 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 45 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 37 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 36 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
17º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 25 |
18º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
34% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 2
LEA
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 0
AVI
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AVI
1 - 0
UDL
49%
24%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BER
4 - 1
AVI
28%
28%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
CAU
0 - 0
AVI
14%
24%
61%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Laredo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAR
3 - 3
CDG
22%
28%
51%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 0
LAR
77%
16%
8%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 0
ESC
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
LAR
62%
24%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 0
SPB
32%
28%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |