Real Avilés Industrial vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1953 |
CDC
6 - 1
AVI
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
DEP
1 - 0
AVI
80%
12%
8%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1953 |
AVI
1 - 0
CAT
42%
23%
36%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
CEL
4 - 2
AVI
88%
8%
4%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
LOG
7 - 2
AVI
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1953 |
HER
3 - 1
DEP
47%
22%
31%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
CAT
3 - 0
HER
62%
18%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1953 |
HER
1 - 0
CEL
42%
22%
36%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
CDC
4 - 1
HER
48%
21%
31%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
MEL
2 - 2
HER
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |