Real Avilés Industrial vs Circulo Popular analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
SAN
1 - 1
AVI
51%
21%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ORE
3 - 2
AVI
60%
19%
21%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
AVI
2 - 1
SGL
47%
21%
32%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
CUL
2 - 2
AVI
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
AVI
3 - 3
ARO
62%
18%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Circulo Popular
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
SGL
4 - 1
POP
80%
12%
8%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
CUL
3 - 1
POP
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
POP
2 - 2
ARO
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
JUV
5 - 1
POP
65%
17%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
RJU
2 - 1
POP
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |