Real Avilés Industrial vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1994 |
ARO
0 - 0
AVI
40%
29%
31%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
PON
1 - 1
AVI
48%
28%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1994 |
AVI
1 - 1
AVI
62%
24%
15%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
UPL
1 - 1
AVI
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1994 |
AVI
0 - 0
SLA
31%
30%
39%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1994 |
CEL
2 - 3
SSR
57%
25%
19%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
CEL
2 - 0
PON
41%
28%
31%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
AVI
3 - 1
CEL
54%
27%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1994 |
CEL
4 - 2
UPL
27%
27%
46%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +3 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
SLA
0 - 0
CEL
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | +1 |