Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
AVI
2 - 1
ALC
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
COR
2 - 0
AVI
43%
25%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 0
ALC
37%
28%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
AVI
1 - 1
AVI
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 0
CDO
34%
27%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
ALF
5 - 2
RIV
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
VAL
2 - 3
ALF
42%
25%
34%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ALF
0 - 2
CHA
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
TUD
3 - 2
ALF
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ALF
2 - 0
UDM
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |