Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
Real Avilés Industrial vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
AVI
0 - 1
MST
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1994 |
CAU
1 - 2
AVI
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
ATB
1 - 0
AVI
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
AVI
1 - 1
UDL
31%
28%
41%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
ARA
1 - 1
AVI
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
TUR
0 - 3
CAU
24%
28%
48%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1994 |
CAU
1 - 2
AVI
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
CAU
5 - 2
LEN
85%
11%
4%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
TUI
1 - 0
CAU
13%
25%
62%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
CAU
0 - 0
SRA
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |