Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-3
Real Avilés Industrial vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
GIM
2 - 1
AVI
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
AVI
2 - 0
SSC
43%
28%
29%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
CDG
3 - 1
AVI
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
AVI
1 - 1
PON
64%
23%
13%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
AVI
1 - 1
ENS
49%
28%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
PON
1 - 0
CAU
69%
21%
10%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
CAU
3 - 0
GIM
45%
30%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
SSC
3 - 1
CAU
68%
20%
11%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
CAU
1 - 0
CDG
52%
29%
19%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
CAU
3 - 1
ZAM
51%
28%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |