Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-1
Real Avilés Industrial vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
HUE
0 - 1
AVI
70%
17%
14%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
AVI
3 - 2
GIM
54%
20%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
GIM
0 - 2
AVI
80%
12%
8%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
AVI
7 - 1
ALA
44%
22%
34%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
BUR
3 - 0
AVI
72%
15%
13%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
CAU
1 - 0
BAR
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
OSA
2 - 1
CAU
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
CAU
2 - 2
UES
77%
14%
10%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
HUE
1 - 1
CAU
51%
21%
28%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
CAU
3 - 2
SAB
61%
20%
19%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |