Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 1-1
Real Avilés Industrial vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
56%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
AVI
0 - 0
CEA
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ROB
2 - 1
AVI
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
AVI
2 - 0
ROC
77%
16%
7%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
UPL
4 - 1
AVI
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
AVI
1 - 0
VAL
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CDV
1 - 2
BUR
24%
27%
49%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BUR
1 - 1
ATH
31%
28%
41%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
IZA
2 - 1
BUR
27%
29%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
ALA
2 - 0
BUR
81%
16%
4%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BUR
3 - 0
PEÑ
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |