Real Avilés Industrial vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
AVI
1 - 3
COL
43%
24%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 1
AVI
71%
18%
12%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AVI
0 - 2
TUI
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
PRA
1 - 0
AVI
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
LEN
4 - 0
AVI
20%
22%
58%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
CEA
30%
26%
44%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
COL
1 - 1
ATL
69%
18%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
ROB
12%
19%
69%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
ATL
82%
13%
5%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
ROC
49%
25%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |