Real Avilés U19 vs Racing U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
12º
16º
16º
7
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
10 | 73 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 73 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 60 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 58 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 54 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 41 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 38 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 37 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 35 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 32 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 27 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 25 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 24 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 23 |
16º
|
22% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 68% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
32.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
67.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BAN
4 - 0
REA
49%
22%
28%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
REA
0 - 1
CEL
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
REA
0 - 0
LLA
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 2
REA
15%
21%
65%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
REA
1 - 1
ARE
84%
12%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Racing U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
REA
69%
17%
15%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
REA
2 - 1
COV
85%
11%
4%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAD
2 - 2
REA
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REA
6 - 1
ALA
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SDC
1 - 0
REA
16%
21%
64%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |