Real Ávila vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
16º
16º
5
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 73 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 68 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 59 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 58 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 56 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 55 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 50 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 49 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 48 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 44 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 43 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 43 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 41 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 41 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 38 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 36 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 25 |
17º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 23 |
18º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
29% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
57.5% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
AVI
61%
23%
17%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 1
AVI
56%
25%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SSR
2 - 1
AVI
72%
19%
9%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
AVI
38%
28%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GET
2 - 0
AVI
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
UPL
4 - 2
GIM
48%
26%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CUL
3 - 0
UPL
72%
19%
10%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
UPL
1 - 1
LEA
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UPL
1 - 0
COL
61%
23%
17%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
ESM
0 - 1
UPL
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |