Real Ávila vs Racing Lermeño CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CDA
0 - 2
AVI
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
AVI
4 - 1
BÉJ
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 0
AVI
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AVI
2 - 2
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AST
5 - 0
AVI
31%
26%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Lermeño CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
LER
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
LER
1 - 1
BUR
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LER
1 - 1
CAT
41%
26%
33%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CDA
0 - 1
LER
53%
24%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 0
LER
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |