Real Ávila vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
AVI
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
AVI
2 - 2
PON
25%
26%
48%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 1
LAN
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ULP
3 - 1
AVI
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
AVI
1 - 0
CUL
28%
28%
43%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
RIB
0 - 1
CDO
19%
26%
55%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CDO
5 - 0
MAR
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
LAN
1 - 1
CDO
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CDO
0 - 1
ULP
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
CUL
4 - 0
CDO
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |