Real Ávila vs Numancia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AVI
0 - 1
CEB
51%
24%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BAÑ
1 - 0
AVI
65%
20%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
AVI
0 - 1
CAB
43%
26%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CDV
4 - 2
AVI
26%
24%
50%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
AVI
1 - 1
CDP
52%
23%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SDA
2 - 2
NUM
35%
26%
40%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
NUM
4 - 0
TOR
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BEC
3 - 3
NUM
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NUM
1 - 3
CAT
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ACF
1 - 1
NUM
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |