Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Real Ávila vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
AVI
2 - 5
SDA
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 2
AVI
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
AVI
4 - 0
STM
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 0
AVI
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
AVI
4 - 2
BAÑ
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
COR
3 - 0
MAD
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 1
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
UDF
1 - 1
MAD
15%
21%
65%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 1
JER
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
EXT
1 - 3
MAD
45%
26%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |