Real Ávila vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
SSR
1 - 0
AVI
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
AVI
0 - 1
PPJ
33%
28%
39%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
FUE
1 - 2
AVI
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
AVI
3 - 1
VEC
34%
28%
37%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
CAU
2 - 0
AVI
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2001 |
LUG
0 - 0
SIE
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2001 |
SPB
3 - 1
LUG
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
LUG
0 - 0
CDT
25%
28%
48%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
RMC
4 - 0
LUG
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
LUG
0 - 1
CDM
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |