Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-6
Real Ávila vs Galáctico Pegaso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
AVI
4 - 1
CIE
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
RMC
2 - 2
AVI
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1983 |
PEG
6 - 1
AVI
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
AVI
1 - 0
UBC
59%
24%
17%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
DAI
1 - 4
AVI
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Galáctico Pegaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
PEG
2 - 1
RMC
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
UBC
1 - 0
PEG
43%
27%
30%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1983 |
PEG
6 - 1
AVI
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
PEG
0 - 1
DAI
74%
16%
9%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
ALC
2 - 3
PEG
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |