Real Ávila vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AVI
1 - 0
AVI
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
AVI
0 - 1
UPL
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
LUG
2 - 4
AVI
40%
27%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
AVI
0 - 0
RMC
23%
26%
51%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
PON
2 - 1
AVI
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
CEL
0 - 0
CDO
32%
27%
42%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 0
CEL
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
CEL
0 - 0
LAN
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
ULP
3 - 0
CEL
69%
20%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
CEL
0 - 1
CUL
32%
29%
39%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |