Real Ávila vs CD Palencia Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
AVI
50%
24%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AVI
0 - 2
SEG
31%
25%
45%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MIR
2 - 0
AVI
34%
27%
40%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
AVI
0 - 0
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
AVI
21%
24%
54%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Palencia Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CDP
2 - 2
SDA
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 2
CDP
59%
22%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CDP
2 - 2
BEC
47%
23%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAT
0 - 2
CDP
52%
23%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CDP
1 - 2
ACF
23%
23%
54%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |