Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-3
Real Ávila vs SD Almazán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1992 |
SDA
2 - 1
AVI
35%
29%
37%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
CUL
1 - 0
AVI
57%
27%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
AVI
0 - 1
SLA
34%
33%
33%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 0
AVI
59%
26%
15%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
AVI
1 - 0
CAM
62%
23%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SD Almazán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1992 |
SDA
2 - 1
AVI
35%
29%
37%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
CDF
0 - 2
SDA
16%
26%
59%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
SDA
2 - 1
CAB
55%
26%
19%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
VDB
0 - 3
SDA
52%
25%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
SDA
1 - 1
BUR
56%
24%
20%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |