Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-3
Real Ávila vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
SSR
2 - 0
AVI
73%
18%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
AVI
1 - 1
FUE
71%
18%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
ALC
2 - 0
AVI
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
RMC
2 - 1
AVI
64%
21%
15%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
AVI
2 - 1
SEG
60%
23%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
ALC
1 - 0
ARA
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
TOM
2 - 0
ALC
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
ALC
2 - 0
AVI
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
ALC
0 - 1
VAL
80%
14%
7%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
SFN
3 - 2
ALC
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |