Cusco FC vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
COM
2 - 2
GAR
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 0
LOS
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 1
GAR
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GAR
0 - 2
CIE
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HUA
3 - 1
GAR
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
UTC
0 - 1
AYA
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 0
UTC
47%
28%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
UTC
2 - 0
MEL
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 0
VAL
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
UTC
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |