Cusco FC vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
GAR
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
GAR
0 - 1
COM
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GAR
3 - 1
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 1
GAR
44%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
GAR
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
SAM
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
HUA
3 - 0
SAM
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
ALI
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
SAM
4 - 2
BOC
38%
28%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |