Cusco FC vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
GAR
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GAR
3 - 0
SBO
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 2
GAR
41%
29%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
GAR
3 - 1
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GAR
3 - 0
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
COM
1 - 2
VAL
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
SBO
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
VAL
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |