Cusco FC vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
GAR
5 - 1
CCP
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GAR
2 - 0
PAC
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
GAR
0 - 3
TOL
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
GAR
2 - 1
AUR
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
AYA
1 - 2
GAR
32%
30%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 0
PAC
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 1
MEL
40%
28%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 2
AYA
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 2
CIE
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |