Cusco FC vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
HUA
1 - 1
GAR
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 2
GAR
28%
26%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 1
ALI
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 1
GAR
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 1
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
COM
1 - 2
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 1
COM
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
HUA
3 - 1
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
COM
0 - 0
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 2
COM
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |