Real Aranjuez CF vs México FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
16º
16º
45
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TRJ
4 - 2
ARA
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
CDM
14%
22%
64%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +4 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CVI
0 - 1
ARA
56%
21%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
CAN
37%
26%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
POZ
1 - 0
ARA
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MEX
3 - 0
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RVB
1 - 2
MEX
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MEX
4 - 1
GAL
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LRZ
3 - 1
MEX
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MEX
1 - 1
ALC
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |