Real Aranjuez CF vs México FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
4 - 3
ARA
69%
19%
13%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 3
SSR
12%
22%
66%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TRJ
3 - 1
ARA
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CDV
0 - 2
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 3
ALC
13%
24%
63%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALC
28%
27%
45%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SFN
2 - 0
ALC
42%
27%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
POZ
31%
27%
42%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
RVB
4 - 2
ALC
65%
21%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
VAL
25%
24%
52%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |