Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
ARA
1 - 1
CDB
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARA
39%
28%
34%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
MAN
1 - 0
ARA
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
ATM
0 - 1
ARA
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
ARA
0 - 3
LEG
80%
14%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
10%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
CIE
3 - 2
MAN
38%
30%
33%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
MAN
1 - 0
ARA
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
MAN
2 - 0
RMC
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
UBC
4 - 0
MAN
34%
31%
35%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -3 |