Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
SFN
2 - 3
ARA
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
ARA
5 - 1
CDT
84%
12%
4%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
MAN
2 - 3
ARA
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
ARA
1 - 2
ALC
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
COL
2 - 3
ARA
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
MAN
0 - 0
LEG
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
GUA
0 - 2
MAN
48%
28%
24%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
MAN
2 - 3
ARA
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
ARG
0 - 1
MAN
49%
29%
22%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
MAN
2 - 0
PNT
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |