Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
AVI
2 - 1
ARA
45%
28%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
ARA
0 - 0
ROB
47%
27%
26%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
AVI
2 - 0
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
ARA
1 - 1
REA
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
ARA
2 - 0
MST
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
LUG
0 - 0
COR
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
SSR
0 - 1
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
LUG
2 - 0
UPL
50%
26%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
SPB
4 - 0
LUG
54%
26%
20%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
CDM
2 - 1
LUG
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |