Real Aranjuez CF vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
ROB
3 - 0
ARA
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
ARA
3 - 1
FUE
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
AVI
1 - 1
ARA
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
MLL
0 - 0
ARA
64%
20%
17%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
DEP
5 - 2
AVI
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
MLL
3 - 1
DEP
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
PON
0 - 1
DEP
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
DEP
2 - 2
CEL
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
DEP
3 - 0
ASP
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |