Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Canillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
16º
16º
32
2º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
POZ
1 - 0
ARA
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 0
GET
14%
22%
64%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
CDE
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RMA
4 - 1
ARA
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
ARA
68%
19%
13%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Canillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 1
VAL
24%
25%
51%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RVB
1 - 0
CAN
75%
15%
9%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GAL
4 - 0
CAN
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 3
LRZ
24%
25%
51%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAN
59%
23%
17%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |