Real Apodaca vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+561%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
6º
10º
7º
0
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
4 | 24 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 23 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 22 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 21 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 18 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
0 | 17 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
3 | 17 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 14 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 12 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 11 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 9 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
1% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
51.5% | 67.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 32.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Apodaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 1
RAF
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 6
RAF
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 3
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
COR
0 - 2
RAF
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
RAF
0 - 1
GAV
23%
25%
52%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
CIM
19%
25%
57%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LCU
4 - 0
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
LCU
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
ZAC
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 3
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |