Reading United vs Philadelphia Lone Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
REA
2 - 4
CFO
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
REA
1 - 0
VIL
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
REA
2 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
REA
4 - 3
MBM
60%
21%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
REA
3 - 2
LEH
94%
4%
1%
|
46 | 12 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Philadelphia Lone Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
JLS
2 - 2
WCU
33%
22%
46%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
JLS
2 - 0
HER
92%
6%
2%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
NJC
2 - 4
JLS
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 4
JLS
4%
11%
85%
|
32 | 6 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
WCU
0 - 1
JLS
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |