Reading vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
POS
3 - 2
REA
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
REA
0 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
REA
0 - 0
DON
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 3
REA
30%
28%
43%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
REA
1 - 2
BAR
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
WAT
3 - 3
LEI
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
PLY
0 - 1
WAT
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SWA
1 - 1
WAT
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
LEE
2 - 1
WAT
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |