Reading vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 0
REA
32%
26%
43%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 1
REA
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
REA
1 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
BIR
1 - 3
REA
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
REA
2 - 0
NOR
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 0
SCU
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
QPR
0 - 0
WAT
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
WAT
2 - 4
BRI
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
DER
1 - 0
WAT
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
WAT
2 - 1
COV
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |