Reading vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LEY
2 - 1
REA
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 1
REA
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
REA
0 - 0
BUR
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BPO
4 - 1
REA
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
EXE
0 - 9
REA
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
SWI
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 1
SWI
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 1
GRI
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 2
SWI
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 0
WAL
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |