Reading vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
REA
2 - 0
SWA
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 1
REA
43%
27%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
MAC
3 - 2
REA
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
REA
2 - 0
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
CRY
3 - 2
REA
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1997 |
SWI
0 - 2
WAT
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
SWI
2 - 0
CRE
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
HUR
0 - 0
SWI
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
SWI
0 - 2
CRY
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
OXF
2 - 0
SWI
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |