Reading vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
52.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
QPR
0 - 0
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 0
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
REA
0 - 1
MID
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 1
REA
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
REA
0 - 2
SHE
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
SWA
2 - 2
WIG
57%
23%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
SWA
0 - 1
ASV
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
HUL
3 - 2
SWA
29%
28%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SWA
2 - 1
SHW
62%
22%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 3
SWA
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |