Reading vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 3
REA
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
REA
0 - 0
STO
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
CRY
2 - 2
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2004 |
PNE
2 - 1
REA
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
REA
2 - 1
SHE
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
SUN
1 - 1
STO
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
SUN
2 - 0
WHU
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
SUN
3 - 3
PNE
51%
26%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SUN
1 - 0
SHE
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
WAL
1 - 3
SUN
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |