Reading vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LEE
1 - 1
REA
41%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 5
REA
32%
28%
39%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
REA
5 - 0
DER
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
LEI
1 - 1
REA
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
REA
1 - 1
WOL
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
STO
1 - 2
SOU
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
IPS
1 - 4
STO
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
STO
1 - 1
SHE
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
QPR
1 - 2
STO
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
LEE
0 - 0
STO
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |